New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Just small changes in starting conditions can result in big changes to forecasts,” said Ken Mylne, Met Office Science Fellow ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

Adaptive forecasting is a term used to describe several different methods of determining the likelihood of events occurring based on statistical data and variable analysis. These forecasting methods ...

Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.

Americans have long been familiar with “horse race” polls that accompany elections in the United States. But since 2008, a new polling tool has gained prominence, one that not only suggests which ...